Research and News

US banks again underperformed the broad market on MoM basis, the third month of the last four. But, in fact, US banks were relatively flat over the last 5 months, trading in a narrow range of 103-111 points on BKX index. In August, US banks increased by ...

10 September 2018, Arbat Capital

investment, banks;

In July there were not many disturbances for crude oil price trading levels. The price was on the edge of breaking downside but Saudi Arabia made an effort to support it by limiting production growth. Saudi Arabia said it won’t oversupply the market just...

17 August 2018, Arbat Capital

oil, investment, equity

After two consecutive months of underperformance US banks finally outperformed S&P 500 index in July due to positive perception of the earnings season. In July, US banks increased by 4.9% MoM vs +3.6% of SPX index. But on the YTD basis, banks still u...

15 August 2018, Arbat Capital

investment, banks;

US banks underperformed the broad market again, the second month in a row and the third month out of six this year. In June banks lost 1.9% MoM vs +0.5% MoM of SPX index, after -1.0% MoM decline in May. Absolute June performance on MoM basis was -0.4 StD...

09 July 2018, Arbat Capital

investment, banks;

In May Brent oil price finally got to $80 per barrel. Almost all the gain was made on Trump’s decision to cut off from the deal with Iran and to return oil sanctions. Geopolitical nature of the rally made it quite unstable, but significant correction beg...

14 June 2018, Arbat Capital

oil, investment, equity

US banks were little changed in May as it did in April. In May BKX index increased by 1.0% MoM vs +2.2% of SPX index. In fact, in the first part of month banks demonstrated positive performance due to strong quarterly results, expectations of both rising...

09 June 2018, Arbat Capital

investment, banks;

US banks started the second quarter with relatively flat dynamics after two consecutive months of decline. In April US banks increased by 0.5% MoM vs +0.3% of SPX index. Currently, US banks are just 0.3% higher than it was at the end of 2017, despite the...

11 May 2018, Arbat Capital

investment, banks;

US banks finished the quarter in the red zone (-0.2% ytd) despite in January they demonstrated the most impressive start of the year since 2010. In March banks lost 5.5% MoM vs -2.7% MoM of SPX index, after -2.3% MoM decline in February. Banks significan...

13 April 2018, Arbat Capital

investment, banks;

In March crude oil market had been mostly in consolidation phase before breaking through technical resistance level and recovering to local maximum. Geopolitical risks were believed to support the returning of bullish sentiment. The risks of trading war ...

09 April 2018, Arbat Capital

oil, investment, equity