Research and News

US banks markedly outperformed the broad market in November, the third consecutive month of outperformance after very weak dynamics in August. Thus, BKX index increased by 5.7% MoM in November vs +3.4% of SPX index. Absolute November performance on MoM b...

12 August 2019, Arbat Capital

investment, banks;

Crude oil prices rebounded in November 2019 to settle at their highest level since last July, on a monthly basis, mainly driven by optimism and positive expectations for a trade agreement between the US and China, as well as an improved outlook for globa...

12 July 2019, Arbat Capital

oil, investment, equity

Trade war risk has transformed into the source of positive news for the markets as Trump is desperately willing to support stocks in election year especially as he faces an impeachment process. On the other hand ultra dovish expectations from the global ...

11 November 2019, Arbat Capital

commodity;

US banks outperformed the broad market in October for the second consecutive month after very weak dynamics in August. Thus, BKX index increased by 3.8% MoM in October vs +2.0% of SPX index. Absolute October performance on MoM basis was +0.5 std from the...

11 August 2019, Arbat Capital

investment, banks;

Crude oil prices averaged lower in October 2019 on both sides of the Atlantic as market participants shifted their focus from concerns about supply disruptions that had pushed oil prices considerably higher in September to worries related to the risks an...

11 July 2019, Arbat Capital

oil, investment, equity

Trade war risk is by far the most significant swing factor for most commodities and more than able to compensate for ultra dovish expectation from the global CBs with the Fed is going to cut rates for additional 100 bp and ECB to print Eur250 bn. in new ...

10 December 2019, Arbat Capital

commodity;

US banks significantly outperformed the broad market in September after very weak dynamics in August. But it still underperforms S&P 500 index ytd. Thus, BKX index increased by 7.5% MoM in September vs +1.7% of SPX index. Absolute September performan...

10 August 2019, Arbat Capital

investment, banks;

Crude oil prices were very volatile within September 2019 due to a large disruption in two key oil facilities in Saudi Arabia which caused a temporary outage of about 5.7 mln bbl / d of the country’s oil production. The ICE Brent prices jumped by $8.8, o...

10 July 2019, Arbat Capital

oil, investment, equity

US banks underperformed the broad market in August after strong price dynamics in July, the third month of underperformance over last four. Thus, BKX index decreased by 8.8% MoM in August vs -1.8% of SPX index. Absolute August performance on MoM basis wa...

09 August 2019, Arbat Capital

investment, banks;